ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Abdessalem Kazouz, Zarzis
The Footlab model makes ES Zarzis the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for ES Hammam-Sousse. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
ES Zarzis starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,852 vs 1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Zarzis have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; ES Hammam-Sousse have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Sfax Railways(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ES Zarzis win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 ES Hammam-Sousse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2022 | ES Zarzis 1-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| May 18, 2022 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-1 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 22, 2021 | ES Hammam-Sousse 2-1 ES Zarzis | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 20, 2021 | ES Zarzis 3-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 14, 2021 | ES Hammam-Sousse 2-1 ES Zarzis | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 26, 2012 | ES Hammam-Sousse 2-0 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse on May 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
ES Zarzis score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; ES Hammam-Sousse score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | 1.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Zarzis sit 5th in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and ES Hammam-Sousse sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ES Zarzis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
- The Footlab model makes ES Zarzis the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for ES Hammam-Sousse.
- Where and when is ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse played?
- ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Abdessalem Kazouz, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.