Where and when is Cala Pozuelo vs Móstoles played?

Cala Pozuelo vs Móstoles is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cala Pozuelo vs Móstoles: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Cala Pozuelo

Móstoles

The Footlab model makes Cala Pozuelo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cala Pozuelo vs Móstoles?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Cala Pozuelo (1,703) and Móstoles (1,755).

Cala Pozuelo win38 %

Draw27 %

Móstoles win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cala Pozuelo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Móstoles have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cala Pozuelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Alcorcón II(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 4, 2025	Galapagar(away)	5-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025	Torrejón(away)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 17, 2025	Trival Valderas(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 13, 2025	RSD Alcalá(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Móstoles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo(home)	3-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cala Pozuelo	1.4	1.3	3	7/15	6/15
Móstoles	1.1	1.5	0	10/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Móstoles	34	14	9	11	51	45	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cala Pozuelo vs Móstoles?: The Footlab model makes Cala Pozuelo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Móstoles.
Where and when is Cala Pozuelo vs Móstoles played?: Cala Pozuelo vs Móstoles is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.