Pozuelo Alarcón vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valle de las Cañas, Pozuelo de Alarcón
The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pozuelo Alarcón vs Trival Valderas?
Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pozuelo Alarcón have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Trival Valderas have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tres Cantos(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Carabanchel(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | La Nucía(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Trival Valderas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Trival Valderas 1-0 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Pozuelo Alarcón 1-0 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 12, 2024 | Trival Valderas 1-1 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Trival Valderas 0-0 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo Alarcón on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Trival Valderas | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (48 points from 34 matches) and Trival Valderas sit 2nd (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 36 | 60 |
| 9 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40 | 33 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pozuelo Alarcón vs Trival Valderas?
- The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
- Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Trival Valderas played?
- Pozuelo Alarcón vs Trival Valderas is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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