Match

Pozuelo Alarcón vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valle de las Cañas, Pozuelo de Alarcón

Pozuelo AlarcónTrival Valderas

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pozuelo Alarcón vs Trival Valderas?

Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,717).

Pozuelo Alarcón win29 %
Draw29 %
Trival Valderas win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pozuelo Alarcón have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Trival Valderas have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pozuelo Alarcón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Marchamalo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Tres Cantos(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Carabanchel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Móstoles(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026SS Reyes II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026La Nucía(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026La Nucía(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Las Rozas(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Las Rozas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Leganés II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Trival Valderas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Trival Valderas 1-0 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 5, 2025Pozuelo Alarcón 1-0 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 12, 2024Trival Valderas 1-1 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 21, 2024Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 14, 2023Trival Valderas 0-0 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 11, 2022Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo Alarcón on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pozuelo Alarcón1.11.227/156/15
Trival Valderas1.50.777/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (48 points from 34 matches) and Trival Valderas sit 2nd (60 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Trival Valderas3418610503660
9Pozuelo Alarcón34121210403348

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pozuelo Alarcón vs Trival Valderas?
The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Trival Valderas played?
Pozuelo Alarcón vs Trival Valderas is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pozuelo Alarcón and Trival Valderas

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