Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Leganés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 · Matchday 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano IILeganés II

The Footlab AI model makes Leganés II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganés II wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Leganés II?

Leganés II starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,781 vs 1,676).

29%26%45%
Rayo Vallecano II winDrawLeganés II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rayo Vallecano II vs Leganés II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rayo Vallecano II

4-3-3
  1. EE. Eto'o Pineda
  2. SSergio Alonso
  3. PPablo Prieto
  1. 19Aitor González
  2. JJuanchi
  3. JJuan Ybarra
  1. DDiego Robles
  2. ÁÁlvaro Baladía
  3. VVíctor Revuelto
  4. 26Marco de las Sías
  1. 30Juanpe

Leganés II

Not enough data to predict the Leganés II lineup.

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Leganés II have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Fuenlabrada(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 31, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 25, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2026SS Reyes II(away)3-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Leganés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 1, 2026SS Reyes II(away)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 25, 2026Trival Valderas(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Galapagar(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rayo Vallecano II win, 0 draws, 5 Leganés II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Leganés II 4-1 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 23, 2025Rayo Vallecano II 0-3 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 10, 2024Leganés II 0-3 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 10, 2024Leganés II 2-1 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 24, 2023Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2021Leganés II 1-0 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Rayo Vallecano II on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II1.22.039/159/15
Leganés II1.81.5211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rayo Vallecano II sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (9 points from 10 matches) and Leganés II sit 9th (14 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Leganés II9423191214
14Rayo Vallecano II1023514199

A question about Rayo Vallecano II vs Leganés II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Leganés II?
The Footlab AI model makes Leganés II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Leganés II played?
Rayo Vallecano II vs Leganés II is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rayo Vallecano II and Leganés II