Cameroon vs Comoros: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 1Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Omnisports de Bafoussam, Bafoussam
The Footlab model makes Cameroon the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Comoros. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cameroon vs Comoros?
Cameroon starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,647 vs 1,472).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cameroon have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Comoros have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | China(away) | 2-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Australia(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Series |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Morocco(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 4, 2026 | South Africa(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Mozambique(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Kazakhstan(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Namibia(away) | 0-0 | FIFA Series |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Mali(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Zambia(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Cameroon win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Comoros win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | Cameroon 2-1 Comoros | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Cameroon 3-0 Comoros | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Comoros 1-1 Cameroon | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Cameroon score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Comoros score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameroon | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Comoros | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cameroon sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (14 points from 6 matches) and Comoros sit 1st (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comoros | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 1 | Cameroon | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cameroon vs Comoros?
- The Footlab model makes Cameroon the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Comoros.
- Where and when is Cameroon vs Comoros played?
- Cameroon vs Comoros is played on September 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Omnisports de Bafoussam, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.