Tunisia vs Uganda: result 1-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade olympique Hammadi-Agrebi, Radès
Full time
What was the result of Tunisia vs Uganda?
Tunisia and Uganda drew 1-1 on September 24, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 12′A. ArousTunisia
- 68′R. MatoUganda
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Tunisia win at 73%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tunisia have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Uganda have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Netherlands(home) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Japan(home) | 0-4 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Sweden(away) | 1-5 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Belgium(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Austria(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | Nigeria(home) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Tunisia(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Chad(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Tunisia wins, 0 draws, 0 Uganda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | Tunisia 3-1 Uganda | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 4, 2017 | Tunisia 2-0 Uganda | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Tunisia score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Uganda | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tunisia sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (2 points from 2 matches) and Uganda sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
A question about Tunisia vs Uganda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy