Campobasso FC vs Perugia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Avicor Stadium Selvapiana, Campobasso
The Footlab model makes Campobasso FC the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Perugia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Campobasso FC vs Perugia?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Campobasso FC (1,859) and Perugia (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Campobasso FC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Perugia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cavese(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2026 | Pineto(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Forli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Campobasso FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Perugia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Perugia 0-1 Campobasso FC | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Campobasso FC 1-0 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Campobasso FC 2-1 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Perugia 2-1 Campobasso FC | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Perugia vs Campobasso FC on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Campobasso FC score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campobasso FC | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Campobasso FC sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone B (3 points from 1 matches) and Perugia sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Campobasso FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Perugia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Campobasso FC vs Perugia?
- The Footlab model makes Campobasso FC the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Perugia.
- Where and when is Campobasso FC vs Perugia played?
- Campobasso FC vs Perugia is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Avicor Stadium Selvapiana, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.