Match

Gubbio vs Atalanta II: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio

GubbioAtalanta II

The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Atalanta II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gubbio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gubbio vs Atalanta II?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Gubbio (1,690) and Atalanta II (1,703).

46%29%25%
Gubbio winDrawAtalanta II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gubbio vs Atalanta II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gubbio

4-3-3
  1. 10A. La Mantia
  2. 7M. Spina
  3. 92E. Baldini
  1. 8G. Rosaia
  2. 47G. Di Noia
  3. 67F. Carraro
  1. 27L. Podda
  2. 4L. Baroncelli
  3. 34F. Zallu
  4. 6O. Barry
  1. 1N. Bagnolini

Atalanta II

4-3-3
  1. 29Siren Diao
  2. 45H. Camara
  3. 80T. De Nipoti
  1. 47S. Levak
  2. 8D. K. Pounga
  3. 21F. Steffanoni
  1. 14Jacopo Mirra
  2. 18A. Guerini
  3. 37Albert Navarro
  4. 5M. Plaia
  1. 22A. Anelli

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:24 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gubbio have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Atalanta II have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gubbio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Spezia(away)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Oct 3, 2026Perugia(home)1-3Serie C - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Ravenna(away)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Ostia Mare(home)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Pescara(away)1-1Serie C - Girone B
Atalanta II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Latina(away)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Torres(away)1-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Ravenna(home)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Sambenedettese(away)3-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 12, 2026Pescara(home)2-1Serie C - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Gubbio score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atalanta II score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gubbio1.51.537/158/15
Atalanta II1.21.419/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gubbio sit 18th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 9 matches) and Atalanta II sit 15th (9 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Atalanta II83058139
18Gubbio921610187

A question about Gubbio vs Atalanta II?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gubbio vs Atalanta II?
The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Atalanta II.
Where and when is Gubbio vs Atalanta II played?
Gubbio vs Atalanta II is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti, in the Serie C - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gubbio and Atalanta II

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