Campos AA vs Búzios: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Ângelo de Carvalho, Campos dos Goytacazes, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Búzios the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Campos AA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Campos AA vs Búzios?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Campos AA (1,587) and Búzios (1,607).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Campos AA have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Búzios have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(home) | 1-2 | Carioca C |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(away) | 1-4 | Carioca C |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Uniao Central(away) | 0-1 | Carioca C |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Uni Souza(home) | 3-1 | Carioca C |
| Jun 7, 2026 | EC Resende(away) | 4-0 | Carioca C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(away) | 1-2 | Carioca C |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barra Mansa(away) | 2-0 | Carioca C |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Barra Mansa(home) | 3-0 | Carioca C |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Barcelona RJ(away) | 7-0 | Carioca C |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(home) | 0-2 | Carioca C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Campos AA win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Búzios win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Campos AA 1-1 Búzios | Carioca C |
How many goals should we expect?
Campos AA score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Búzios score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campos AA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Búzios | 1.9 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Campos AA vs Búzios?
- The Footlab model makes Búzios the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Campos AA.
- Where and when is Campos AA vs Búzios played?
- Campos AA vs Búzios is played on September 27, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Estádio Ângelo de Carvalho, in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.