Fénix vs Atletico Atlas: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Atletico Atlas the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Fénix. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fénix vs Atletico Atlas?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Fénix (1,513) and Atletico Atlas (1,566).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fénix have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Atlas have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Claypole(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Berazategui(away) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Central Ballester(home) | 3-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | El Porvenir(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Yupanqui(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yupanqui(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Canuelas(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Sacachispas(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Deportivo Muñiz(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Fénix win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atletico Atlas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Atletico Atlas 1-1 Fénix | Primera C |
| May 4, 2012 | Fénix 1-0 Atletico Atlas | Primera D |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Atletico Atlas 0-0 Fénix | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Atlas vs Fénix on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fénix score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Atlas score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fénix | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico Atlas | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fénix sit 12th in Primera C (27 points from 25 matches) and Atletico Atlas sit 5th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico Atlas | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 35 |
| 12 | Fénix | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 25 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fénix vs Atletico Atlas?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Atlas the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Fénix.
- Where and when is Fénix vs Atletico Atlas played?
- Fénix vs Atletico Atlas is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Juventud UnidavsBerazategui
- Oct 3, 2026Central CordobavsYupanqui
- Oct 3, 2026Sportivo BarracasvsLeones de Rosario
- Oct 3, 2026Leandro N. AlemvsCentro Español
- Oct 3, 2026SacachispasvsEstrella Del Sur
- Oct 3, 2026LujanvsGeneral Lamadrid
- Oct 3, 2026Central BallestervsDeportivo Muñiz
- Oct 3, 2026El PorvenirvsCanuelas