Match

Fénix vs Atletico Atlas: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires

FénixAtletico Atlas

The Footlab model makes Atletico Atlas the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Fénix. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fénix vs Atletico Atlas?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Fénix (1,513) and Atletico Atlas (1,566).

Fénix win28 %
Draw34 %
Atletico Atlas win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fénix have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Atlas have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fénix
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Claypole(away)0-0Primera C
Aug 16, 2026Berazategui(away)2-2Primera C
Aug 10, 2026Central Ballester(home)3-1Primera C
Aug 4, 2026El Porvenir(away)0-0Primera C
Jul 27, 2026Yupanqui(home)1-1Primera C
Atletico Atlas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Yupanqui(away)2-0Primera C
Aug 16, 2026Argentino Rosario(home)1-0Primera C
Aug 9, 2026Canuelas(home)2-0Primera C
Aug 4, 2026Sacachispas(home)0-2Primera C
Jul 30, 2026Deportivo Muñiz(away)1-1Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Fénix win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atletico Atlas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026Atletico Atlas 1-1 FénixPrimera C
May 4, 2012Fénix 1-0 Atletico AtlasPrimera D
Dec 3, 2011Atletico Atlas 0-0 FénixPrimera D

Last archived meeting: Atletico Atlas vs Fénix on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fénix score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Atlas score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fénix1.00.947/155/15
Atletico Atlas1.00.774/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fénix sit 12th in Primera C (27 points from 25 matches) and Atletico Atlas sit 5th (35 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Atletico Atlas25988222135
12Fénix256910192527

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fénix vs Atletico Atlas?
The Footlab model makes Atletico Atlas the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Fénix.
Where and when is Fénix vs Atletico Atlas played?
Fénix vs Atletico Atlas is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fénix and Atletico Atlas

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