Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
The Footlab model makes Metropolitanos FC the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Trujillanos FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC?
Metropolitanos FC starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metropolitanos FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Trujillanos FC have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Tachira FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Carabobo FC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UCV(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Puerto Cabello(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Deportivo Lara(home) | 0-0 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Academia Anzoátegui(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Urena SC(home) | 2-2 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portuguesa FC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Tachira FC(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Metropolitanos FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Trujillanos FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trujillanos FC 0-1 Metropolitanos FC | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2019 | Metropolitanos FC 4-3 Trujillanos FC | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Trujillanos FC 0-2 Metropolitanos FC | Primera División |
| Aug 22, 2018 | Trujillanos FC 2-1 Metropolitanos FC | Primera División |
| Feb 28, 2018 | Metropolitanos FC 0-0 Trujillanos FC | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2017 | Trujillanos FC 1-1 Metropolitanos FC | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Trujillanos FC vs Metropolitanos FC on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metropolitanos FC score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Trujillanos FC score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitanos FC | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Trujillanos FC | 0.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metropolitanos FC sit 2nd in Primera División (25 points from 13 matches) and Trujillanos FC sit 14th (4 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 11 | Trujillanos FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC?
- The Footlab model makes Metropolitanos FC the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Trujillanos FC.
- Where and when is Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC played?
- Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.