Academia Anzoátegui vs Monagas SC: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Monagas SC the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Academia Anzoátegui. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academia Anzoátegui vs Monagas SC?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Academia Anzoátegui (1,561) and Monagas SC (1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academia Anzoátegui have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Monagas SC have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trujillanos FC(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Estudiantes de Merida FC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Portuguesa FC(home) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rayo Zuliano(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Atletico Avila FC(home) | 3-1 | Copa Venezuela |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portuguesa FC(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mineros de Guyana(home) | 1-0 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Tachira FC(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carabobo FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | UCV(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Academia Anzoátegui win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Monagas SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Monagas SC 1-0 Academia Anzoátegui | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Academia Anzoátegui 2-2 Monagas SC | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Monagas SC 2-3 Academia Anzoátegui | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Monagas SC vs Academia Anzoátegui on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Academia Anzoátegui score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Monagas SC score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academia Anzoátegui | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Monagas SC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academia Anzoátegui sit 13th in Primera División (9 points from 13 matches) and Monagas SC sit 12th (11 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Academia Anzoátegui | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | Monagas SC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
| 12 | Monagas SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Academia Anzoátegui | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academia Anzoátegui vs Monagas SC?
- The Footlab model makes Monagas SC the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Academia Anzoátegui.
- Where and when is Academia Anzoátegui vs Monagas SC played?
- Academia Anzoátegui vs Monagas SC is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.