Portsmouth vs Bristol City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fratton Park, Portsmouth
The Footlab model makes Portsmouth the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Bristol City?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Portsmouth (1,889) and Bristol City (1,871).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portsmouth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bristol City have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Portsmouth win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Bristol City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | Bristol City 5-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Portsmouth 3-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Bristol City 0-0 Portsmouth | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs Portsmouth on Jan 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portsmouth score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Bristol City | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portsmouth sit 10th in Championship (3 points from 2 matches) and Bristol City sit 19th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 | Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portsmouth vs Bristol City?
- The Footlab model makes Portsmouth the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Portsmouth vs Bristol City played?
- Portsmouth vs Bristol City is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Fratton Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.