Where and when is Carina Gubin vs SKRA Częstochowa played?

Carina Gubin vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Carina Gubin vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin

Carina Gubin

SKRA Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carina Gubin vs SKRA Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Carina Gubin (1,717) and SKRA Częstochowa (1,782).

Carina Gubin win36 %

Draw25 %

SKRA Częstochowa win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carina Gubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3

SKRA Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Słowianin(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	4-0	III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026	Sparta Katowice(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026	Górnik Zabrze II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Carina Gubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 22, 2025	Carina Gubin 1-0 SKRA Częstochowa	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 2, 2025	SKRA Częstochowa 3-3 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs SKRA Częstochowa on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Carina Gubin	1.4	1.7	1	11/15	10/15
SKRA Częstochowa	2.0	1.3	4	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Carina Gubin	5	1	1	3	4	12	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs SKRA Częstochowa?: The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Carina Gubin.
Where and when is Carina Gubin vs SKRA Częstochowa played?: Carina Gubin vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.