Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs Sparta Katowice played?

Barycz Sułów vs Sparta Katowice is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Barycz Sułów vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Barycz Sułów

Sparta Katowice

The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sparta Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Sparta Katowice?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Barycz Sułów (1,756) and Sparta Katowice (1,832).

Barycz Sułów win39 %

Draw26 %

Sparta Katowice win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Barycz Sułów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barycz Sułów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	ROW Rybnik(home)	4-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Warta Gorzów(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Kluczbork(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3

Sparta Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Stilon Gorzów(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Zagłębie Lubin II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Barycz Sułów	1.6	1.2	3	6/10	7/10
Sparta Katowice	1.9	0.9	6	8/15	9/15

Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barycz Sułów sit 4th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Barycz Sułów	5	3	1	1	10	6	10
5	Sparta Katowice	5	3	1	1	8	4	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barycz Sułów vs Sparta Katowice?: The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sparta Katowice.
Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs Sparta Katowice played?: Barycz Sułów vs Sparta Katowice is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.