Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stal Brzeg played?

Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stal Brzeg is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zagłębie Lubin II

Stal Brzeg

The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stal Brzeg?

Zagłębie Lubin II starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,629).

Zagłębie Lubin II win54 %

Draw22 %

Stal Brzeg win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zagłębie Lubin II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026	Rakow II(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3

Stal Brzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rakow II(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	5-1	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stal Brzeg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 10, 2022	Zagłębie Lubin II 3-2 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3
Nov 6, 2021	Stal Brzeg 1-2 Zagłębie Lubin II	III Liga - Group 3
Jun 12, 2021	Zagłębie Lubin II 1-0 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3
Feb 6, 2021	Zagłębie Lubin II 2-1 Stal Brzeg	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 21, 2020	Stal Brzeg 1-0 Zagłębie Lubin II	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stal Brzeg on Jun 10, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zagłębie Lubin II	1.7	2.0	2	10/15	13/15
Stal Brzeg	1.5	1.3	4	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 3 (11 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Zagłębie Lubin II	5	3	2	0	11	7	11
7	Stal Brzeg	5	2	2	1	12	6	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stal Brzeg?: The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Stal Brzeg.
Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stal Brzeg played?: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stal Brzeg is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.