Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stilon Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stilon Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stilon Gorzów?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710) and Stilon Gorzów (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Stilon Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Stilon Gorzów sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stilon Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stilon Gorzów.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stilon Gorzów played?
- Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stilon Gorzów is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027ROW RybnikvsSłowianin
- May 15, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsStal Brzeg
- May 15, 2027Górnik PolkowicevsŚlęza Wrocław
- May 15, 2027Warta GorzówvsMiedź Legnica II
- May 15, 2027Carina GubinvsSKRA Częstochowa
- May 15, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsKluczbork
- May 15, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- May 15, 2027Barycz SułówvsSparta Katowice