Górnik Polkowice vs Ślęza Wrocław: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice
The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Ślęza Wrocław. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Ślęza Wrocław?
Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ślęza Wrocław have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ślęza Wrocław win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice 2-1 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 0-5 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Górnik Polkowice 2-2 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Ślęza Wrocław 2-0 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Ślęza Wrocław 2-3 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Górnik Polkowice 3-2 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Górnik Polkowice vs Ślęza Wrocław on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ślęza Wrocław score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Ślęza Wrocław | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Polkowice sit 9th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Ślęza Wrocław sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs Ślęza Wrocław?
- The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Ślęza Wrocław.
- Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Ślęza Wrocław played?
- Górnik Polkowice vs Ślęza Wrocław is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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