Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, Bytom Odrzański
The Footlab model makes Odra Bytom Odrzański the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Odra Bytom Odrzański (1,682) and Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Odra Bytom Odrzański win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | Odra Bytom Odrzański 1-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-1 Odra Bytom Odrzański | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Odra Bytom Odrzański 1-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on Mar 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st in III Liga - Group 3 (12 points from 5 matches) and Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
- The Footlab model makes Odra Bytom Odrzański the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
- Where and when is Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?
- Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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