Cesena vs Avellino: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC)Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
The Footlab AI model makes Cesena the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Avellino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cesena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cesena vs Avellino?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Cesena (1,752) and Avellino (1,822).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cesena vs Avellino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cesena
4-3-3- 9C. Shpendi
- 27M. Dalla Vecchia
- 80A. Fiori
- 25D. Bisoli
- 10R. Pagano
- 32E. Bohinen
- 15A. Ciofi
- 6M. Ilić
- 24M. Mangraviti
- 7G. Frabotta
- 1A. Siano
Avellino
3-5-2- 10R. Russo
- 9W. Cheddira
- 27B. Moruzzi
- 39M. Besaggio
- 20M. Palumbo
- 2F. Missori
- 6L. Palmiero
- 4A. Izzo
- 56P. Enrici
- 23M. Venturi
- 50T. Martinelli
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cesena have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Avellino have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cesena wins, 2 draws, 1 Avellino win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Avellino 3-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Cesena 3-0 Avellino | Serie B |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Avellino 1-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2017 | Cesena 3-1 Avellino | Serie B |
| Apr 22, 2017 | Avellino 1-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Cesena 3-0 Avellino | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Avellino score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Avellino | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cesena sit 11th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Avellino sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Cesena vs Avellino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cesena vs Avellino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cesena the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Avellino.
- Where and when is Cesena vs Avellino played?
- Cesena vs Avellino is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC) at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.