Match

Carshalton Athletic vs St Albans City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Sports Ground, Carshalton, Surrey

Carshalton AthleticSt Albans City

The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for St Albans City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carshalton Athletic vs St Albans City?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Carshalton Athletic (1,792) and St Albans City (1,762).

Carshalton Athletic win48 %
Draw24 %
St Albans City win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carshalton Athletic have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; St Albans City have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carshalton Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stanway Rovers(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Dover(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
St Albans City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ramsgate(away)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Lewes(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Enfield Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Chatham Town(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Carshalton Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 St Albans City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Carshalton Athletic 1-0 St Albans CityNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 22, 2025St Albans City 2-1 Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Carshalton Athletic vs St Albans City on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Carshalton Athletic1.81.2510/159/15
St Albans City1.31.527/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carshalton Athletic sit 1st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (12 points from 4 matches) and St Albans City sit 13th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Carshalton Athletic44008212
13St Albans City4202586

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carshalton Athletic vs St Albans City?
The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for St Albans City.
Where and when is Carshalton Athletic vs St Albans City played?
Carshalton Athletic vs St Albans City is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Sports Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Carshalton Athletic and St Albans City

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