Leatherhead vs Cheshunt: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fetcham Grove, Leatherhead, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Cheshunt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leatherhead vs Cheshunt?
Leatherhead starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leatherhead have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Cheshunt have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Leatherhead win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cheshunt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | Cheshunt 1-0 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Leatherhead 1-2 Cheshunt | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Cheshunt 1-3 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Leatherhead 3-0 Cheshunt | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Cheshunt vs Leatherhead on Feb 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cheshunt score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leatherhead | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Cheshunt | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leatherhead sit 8th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Cheshunt sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leatherhead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leatherhead vs Cheshunt?
- The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Cheshunt.
- Where and when is Leatherhead vs Cheshunt played?
- Leatherhead vs Cheshunt is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Fetcham Grove, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026DartfordvsWingate & Finchley
- Oct 10, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsWelling United
- Oct 10, 2026WhitehawkvsRamsgate
- Oct 10, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsAveley
- Oct 10, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsWhyteleafe
- Oct 10, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsSt Albans City
- Oct 10, 2026Cray WanderersvsLewes
- Oct 10, 2026Enfield TownvsDulwich Hamlet