Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Princes Park, Dartford, Kent
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Wingate & Finchley. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley?
Dartford starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dartford have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Wingate & Finchley have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Dartford win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wingate & Finchley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley 3-1 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Dartford 1-2 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Wingate & Finchley 1-2 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Dartford 2-3 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Wingate & Finchley vs Dartford on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Wingate & Finchley | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dartford sit 5th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Wingate & Finchley sit 16th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley?
- The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Wingate & Finchley.
- Where and when is Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley played?
- Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Princes Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026LeatherheadvsCheshunt
- Oct 10, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsWelling United
- Oct 10, 2026WhitehawkvsRamsgate
- Oct 10, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsAveley
- Oct 10, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsWhyteleafe
- Oct 10, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsSt Albans City
- Oct 10, 2026Cray WanderersvsLewes
- Oct 10, 2026Enfield TownvsDulwich Hamlet