Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)ReachTV Stadium, Eastbourne, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Eastbourne Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Eastbourne Borough (1,717) and Welling United (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastbourne Borough have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Eastbourne Borough win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Welling United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | Eastbourne Borough 4-1 Welling United | National League - South |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Welling United 0-1 Eastbourne Borough | National League - South |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Welling United 0-2 Eastbourne Borough | National League - South |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Eastbourne Borough 2-2 Welling United | National League - South |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Welling United 1-0 Eastbourne Borough | National League - South |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Eastbourne Borough 0-1 Welling United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United on Nov 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Eastbourne Borough score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastbourne Borough | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastbourne Borough sit 7th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United?
- The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Eastbourne Borough.
- Where and when is Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United played?
- Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at ReachTV Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026DartfordvsWingate & Finchley
- Oct 10, 2026LeatherheadvsCheshunt
- Oct 10, 2026WhitehawkvsRamsgate
- Oct 10, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsAveley
- Oct 10, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsWhyteleafe
- Oct 10, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsSt Albans City
- Oct 10, 2026Cray WanderersvsLewes
- Oct 10, 2026Enfield TownvsDulwich Hamlet