Cartagena LU II vs Atlético Pulpileño: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, Cartagena
The Footlab model makes Cartagena LU II the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Atlético Pulpileño. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cartagena LU II vs Atlético Pulpileño?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Cartagena LU II (1,690) and Atlético Pulpileño (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cartagena LU II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Pulpileño have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD Caravaca(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cartagena LU II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Atlético Pulpileño win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-0 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cartagena LU II 1-2 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Cartagena LU II 1-0 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-0 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Cartagena LU II 1-0 Atlético Pulpileño | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Cartagena LU II 2-0 Atlético Pulpileño | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Pulpileño vs Cartagena LU II on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartagena LU II | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Atlético Pulpileño | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cartagena LU II sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Pulpileño sit 9th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlético Pulpileño | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 50 |
| 12 | Cartagena LU II | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 39 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cartagena LU II vs Atlético Pulpileño?
- The Footlab model makes Cartagena LU II the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Atlético Pulpileño.
- Where and when is Cartagena LU II vs Atlético Pulpileño played?
- Cartagena LU II vs Atlético Pulpileño is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.