Match

Algar vs Águilas II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

AlgarÁguilas II

The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs Águilas II?

Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,597).

Algar win31 %
Draw28 %
Águilas II win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Águilas II have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2024Plus Ultra(home)4-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024Bullense(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024Alcantarilla(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024Cieza(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024El Palmar(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Águilas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026UCAM Murcia II(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Mazarrón FC(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026El Palmar(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Balsicas Atlético(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026Unión Molinense(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Algar1.12.328/1510/15
Águilas II1.60.977/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Águilas II34141010474252

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs Águilas II?
The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Algar.
Where and when is Algar vs Águilas II played?
Algar vs Águilas II is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Algar and Águilas II

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