Algar vs Águilas II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar
The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algar vs Águilas II?
Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Águilas II have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Plus Ultra(home) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 5, 2024 | Bullense(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 1, 2024 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Cieza(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algar | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Águilas II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Águilas II | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algar vs Águilas II?
- The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Algar.
- Where and when is Algar vs Águilas II played?
- Algar vs Águilas II is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027Los GarresvsAlcantarilla
- Mar 14, 2027SFC MinervavsBala Azul
- Mar 14, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsEl Palmar
- Mar 14, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Mar 14, 2027Unión MolinensevsSanta Cruz
- Mar 14, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsSan Javier
- Mar 14, 2027SantomeravsOlímpico Totana
- Mar 14, 2027Bullas DeportivovsMazarrón FC