Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Molinense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Unión Molinense (1,808) and Santa Cruz (1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Santa Cruz
Not enough data to predict the Santa Cruz lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 04:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Santa Cruz have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bala Azul(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alcantarilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Unión Molinense wins, 0 draws, 1 Santa Cruz win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Santa Cruz 2-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Unión Molinense 2-0 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Santa Cruz 0-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs Unión Molinense on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Molinense score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Molinense | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Molinense sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (12 points from 8 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 2nd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santa Cruz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Unión Molinense | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Santa Cruz.
- Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz played?
- Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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