Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz played?

Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura

Unión Molinense

Santa Cruz

The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Unión Molinense (1,827) and Santa Cruz (1,763).

Unión Molinense win41 %

Draw30 %

Santa Cruz win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Santa Cruz have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Molinense
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 17, 2026	Olímpico Totana(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Yeclano II(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	SFC Minerva(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Santa Cruz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Real Murcia II(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Yeclano II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	SFC Minerva(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Unión Molinense win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Santa Cruz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Unión Molinense 2-0 Santa Cruz	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 18, 2025	Santa Cruz 0-1 Unión Molinense	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Molinense score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unión Molinense	1.3	0.9	6	6/15	4/15
Santa Cruz	1.0	1.1	6	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Molinense sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (59 points from 34 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Unión Molinense	34	17	8	9	46	34	59
8	Santa Cruz	34	15	6	13	37	34	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz?: The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Santa Cruz.
Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz played?: Unión Molinense vs Santa Cruz is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.