Los Garres vs Alcantarilla: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Alcantarilla the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcantarilla wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Garres vs Alcantarilla?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Los Garres (1,605) and Alcantarilla (1,592).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Los Garres vs Alcantarilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Los Garres
4-3-3- 9J. Fernandez
- 7J. Garcia Belluga
- 21F. Martinez
- 11L. Bernal
- 8P. Martinez
- 14A. Martinez
- 3E. Fugas
- 12K. Ribeiro
- 2E. Varela
- 15J. Martinez
- 1D. Navarro
Alcantarilla
4-3-3- 19Bruno Tomás
- JJuan López
- LLuis Hueva
- NNico Varela
- GGonzalo Rodríguez
- PPedro López
- TTekio
- MMigue Marín
- SSalvi
- LLuis Manzanera
- 13Antonio Gallego
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Alcantarilla have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Alcantarilla(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Los Garres(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bala Azul(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Los Garres win, 0 draws, 0 Alcantarilla wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Alcantarilla 0-2 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Alcantarilla vs Los Garres on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Garres score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alcantarilla score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Garres | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Alcantarilla | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Garres sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (11 points from 8 matches) and Alcantarilla sit 13th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Los Garres | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Alcantarilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Los Garres vs Alcantarilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Alcantarilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcantarilla the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Los Garres vs Alcantarilla played?
- Los Garres vs Alcantarilla is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027SFC MinervavsBala Azul
- Mar 14, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsEl Palmar
- Mar 14, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Mar 14, 2027Unión MolinensevsSanta Cruz
- Mar 14, 2027AlgarvsÁguilas II
- Mar 14, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsSan Javier
- Mar 14, 2027SantomeravsOlímpico Totana
- Mar 14, 2027Bullas DeportivovsMazarrón FC