Match

Santomera vs Olímpico Totana: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera

SantomeraOlímpico Totana

The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santomera vs Olímpico Totana?

Olímpico Totana starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,687).

Santomera win23 %
Draw27 %
Olímpico Totana win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Olímpico Totana have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santomera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cieza(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Olímpico Totana(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026Cartagena LU II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026Real Murcia II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Yeclano II(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Olímpico Totana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Real Murcia II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 31, 2026Real Murcia II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 24, 2026Unión Molinense(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 17, 2026Unión Molinense(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026Santomera(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Santomera win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Olímpico Totana win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Olímpico Totana 3-1 SantomeraTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 11, 2026Santomera 2-2 Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Olímpico Totana vs Santomera on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Olímpico Totana score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Santomera1.12.118/1510/15
Olímpico Totana1.30.877/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santomera sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and Olímpico Totana sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Olímpico Totana3415136442758
15Santomera348818386432

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Olímpico Totana?
The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Santomera.
Where and when is Santomera vs Olímpico Totana played?
Santomera vs Olímpico Totana is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Santomera and Olímpico Totana

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