SFC Minerva vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Secante, Alumbres
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bala Azul wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SFC Minerva vs Bala Azul?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate SFC Minerva (1,699) and Bala Azul (1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SFC Minerva vs Bala Azul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SFC Minerva
Not enough data to predict the SFC Minerva lineup.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SFC Minerva have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 SFC Minerva wins, 3 draws, 1 Bala Azul win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Bala Azul 0-0 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | SFC Minerva 0-0 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Bala Azul 2-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | SFC Minerva 0-0 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SFC Minerva sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and Bala Azul sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bala Azul | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | SFC Minerva | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
A question about SFC Minerva vs Bala Azul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SFC Minerva vs Bala Azul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is SFC Minerva vs Bala Azul played?
- SFC Minerva vs Bala Azul is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Secante, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027Los GarresvsAlcantarilla
- Mar 14, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsEl Palmar
- Mar 14, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Mar 14, 2027Unión MolinensevsSanta Cruz
- Mar 14, 2027AlgarvsÁguilas II
- Mar 14, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsSan Javier
- Mar 14, 2027SantomeravsOlímpico Totana
- Mar 14, 2027Bullas DeportivovsMazarrón FC