Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim: result 2-1 and analysis
Taça de PortugalRound of 128Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira, Cernache do Bonjardim
Full time
What was the result of Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim?
Vitória de Sernache won 2-1 on September 19, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′Lucas DanielVitória de Sernache
- 76′F. SilvaVarzim
- 90′Henrique SilvaVitória de Sernache
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Varzim win at 53%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitória de Sernache have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Varzim have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Nazarenos(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vianense(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Paredes(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitória de Sernache score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória de Sernache | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Varzim | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy