Match

CD Motagua vs Juticalpa: prediction and stats

Liga NacionalApertura - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, Tegucigalpa

CD MotaguaJuticalpa

The Footlab AI model makes CD Motagua the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Juticalpa. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,972 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

CD Motagua is a heavy favourite: 1,815 Elo points against 1,492, a 323-point gap.

70%19%11%
CD Motagua winDrawJuticalpa win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

CD Motagua

4-3-3
  1. 19Rodrigo De Olivera Donado
  2. 21J. Bernardez
  3. 33E. Izaguirre
  1. 8D. Meléndez
  2. 23A. Reyes
  3. 27J. Macías
  1. 34G. Sacaza
  2. 36V. Marinacci
  3. 35C. Meléndez
  4. 17J. Portillo
  1. 22L. Ortiz

Juticalpa

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Róchez
  2. 30C. Sacaza
  3. 39J. Centeno
  1. 2M. Núñez
  2. 45J. Velasquez
  3. 6C. Róchez
  1. 27W. Quaye
  2. 24Ó. Barrios
  3. 20R. Gonzalez
  4. 28A. Gomez
  1. 35E. Facusse

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Motagua have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Juticalpa have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CD Motagua
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Platense FC(away)2-0Liga Nacional
Oct 10, 2026Atlético Choloma(home)2-1Liga Nacional
Sep 20, 2026Real Espana(away)0-1Liga Nacional
Sep 17, 2026Alianza(away)0-0CONCACAF Central American Cup
Sep 13, 2026Génesis(home)1-0Liga Nacional
Juticalpa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Atlético Choloma(home)1-2Liga Nacional
Oct 9, 2026Platense FC(away)1-2Liga Nacional
Sep 21, 2026CD Marathon(home)3-2Liga Nacional
Sep 14, 2026Atletico Independiente(away)1-2Liga Nacional
Sep 7, 2026Génesis(home)0-3Liga Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 CD Motagua wins, 1 draw, 0 Juticalpa wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2026Juticalpa 0-3 CD MotaguaLiga Nacional
Apr 19, 2026CD Motagua 2-1 JuticalpaLiga Nacional
Feb 25, 2026Juticalpa 1-2 CD MotaguaLiga Nacional
Dec 7, 2025Juticalpa 1-7 CD MotaguaLiga Nacional
Sep 21, 2025CD Motagua 0-0 JuticalpaLiga Nacional
Apr 13, 2025CD Motagua 5-1 JuticalpaLiga Nacional

Last archived meeting: Juticalpa vs CD Motagua on Aug 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CD Motagua score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Juticalpa score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CD Motagua1.40.776/156/15
Juticalpa0.92.129/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CD Motagua sit 4th in Liga Nacional (19 points from 10 matches) and Juticalpa sit 12th (6 points from 10 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4CD Motagua1061315919
12Juticalpa1020810236

A question about CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
The Footlab AI model makes CD Motagua the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Juticalpa.
Where and when is CD Motagua vs Juticalpa played?
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, in the Liga Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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