Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalApertura - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca
The Footlab AI model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Lobos Upnfm. The most likely score is 1-1. If CD Olimpia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia?
CD Olimpia is a heavy favourite: 1,934 Elo points against 1,612, a 322-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lobos Upnfm
4-3-3- 11S. Elvir
- 10Yeferson Hinestroza
- 32M. Baquedano
- 6J. Ponce
- 8J. Núñez
- 26B. Lopez
- 2D. Suazo
- 24O. Elvir
- 20E. López
- 3G. Rodas
- 12A. Güity
CD Olimpia
4-4-2- 21K. Peña
- 31N. Dibble
- 8E. Rodríguez
- 23J. Álvarez
- 20A. Maldonado
- 25D. Paguada
- 2E. Hernández
- 18R. García
- 3Clinton Bennett
- 15K. Guity
- 1E. Menjívar
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lobos Upnfm have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; CD Olimpia have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atletico Independiente(away) | 4-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Marathon(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Platense FC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Choloma(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Real Espana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Real Espana(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Génesis(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Independiente(home) | 4-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CD Marathon(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lobos Upnfm wins, 1 draw, 5 CD Olimpia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | CD Olimpia 2-0 Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 2, 2026 | CD Olimpia 0-0 Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Lobos Upnfm 0-1 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm 1-2 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 27, 2025 | CD Olimpia 2-0 Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 6, 2025 | CD Olimpia 2-0 Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm on Aug 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lobos Upnfm score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CD Olimpia score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos Upnfm | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| CD Olimpia | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lobos Upnfm sit 6th in Liga Nacional (12 points from 10 matches) and CD Olimpia sit 1st (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 23 |
| 6 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia?
- The Footlab AI model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Lobos Upnfm.
- Where and when is Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia played?
- Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.