Celaya vs Tepatitlán: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXClausura - 7Kick-off on February 23, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
Full time
What was the result of Celaya vs Tepatitlán?
Celaya won 3-1 on February 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′J. GamboaCelaya
- 63′A. EscotoTepatitlán
- 78′J. MúñozCelaya
- 90′J. GamboaCelaya
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Tepatitlán have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | CA La Paz(away) | 3-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Dorados(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Venados FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Tapatío(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Atlante FC(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Monarcas(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tlaxcala(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Cancún(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Celaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tepatitlán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2024 | Tepatitlán 2-1 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Tepatitlán 0-2 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Celaya 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Tepatitlán 1-2 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Celaya 1-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 6, 2022 | Celaya 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tepatitlán score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Tepatitlán | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy