Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Real Sociedad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta Vigo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Celta Vigo (2,073) and Real Sociedad (2,133).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 16Hugo González
- 17Javi Rueda
- 14Aleix Febas
- 6I. Moriba
- 22Javi Galán
- 18Yoel Lago
- 20Javi Rodríguez
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 13I. Radu
Real Sociedad
4-4-2- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 24L. Sučić
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 7Barrenetxea
- 18Carlos Soler
- 19M. Sarr
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 6Jon Martín
- 2J. Aramburu
- 1Álex Remiro
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta Vigo have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Real Sociedad have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Levante(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Celta Vigo wins, 2 draws, 2 Real Sociedad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Real Sociedad 3-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| May 13, 2025 | Real Sociedad 0-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo on Sep 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta Vigo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta Vigo sit 10th in La Liga (12 points from 11 matches) and Real Sociedad sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Real Sociedad.
- Where and when is Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad played?
- Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.