Villarreal vs Osasuna: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Osasuna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarreal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,118 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal vs Osasuna?
Villarreal starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (2,177 vs 2,060).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarreal vs Osasuna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarreal
4-4-2- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 21T. Oluwaseyi
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 11Ilias Akhomach
- 18P. Gueye
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 12Renato Veiga
- 3A. Freeman
- 6Pau Navarro
- 25P. Gulácsi
Osasuna
4-3-3- 14Rubén García
- 17A. Budimir
- 21Jonathan Dubasin
- 7Moncayola
- 16Moi Gómez
- 8Iker Muñoz
- 24Catena
- 23Abel Bretones
- 27Íñigo Arguibide
- 22F. Boyomo
- 13Aitor Fernández
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 11:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Osasuna have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levante(home) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 0-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 0-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Villarreal wins, 3 draws, 0 Osasuna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Osasuna 2-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Villarreal 2-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Villarreal 4-2 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Osasuna 2-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | Osasuna 1-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Villarreal 3-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Osasuna vs Villarreal on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Osasuna score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Osasuna | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal sit 12th in La Liga (9 points from 9 matches) and Osasuna sit 10th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Villarreal vs Osasuna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal vs Osasuna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Osasuna.
- Where and when is Villarreal vs Osasuna played?
- Villarreal vs Osasuna is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.