Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Rayo Vallecano the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Betis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano (2,096) and Real Betis (2,175).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Real Betis have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rayo Vallecano win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Real Betis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Real Betis 1-1 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Real Betis | La Liga |
| May 15, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Real Betis 1-1 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Real Betis 1-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Vallecano score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Betis | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayo Vallecano sit 15th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Real Betis sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis?
- The Footlab model makes Rayo Vallecano the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Betis.
- Where and when is Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis played?
- Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Vallecas, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.