Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Real Betis the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Rayo Vallecano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Betis wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,143 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis?
Real Betis starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (2,240 vs 2,121).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rayo Vallecano
4-2-3-1- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 8Unai López
- 6P. Ciss
- 10Sergio Camello
- 18Álvaro García
- 7Isi Palazón
- 24F. Lejeune
- 17Adrià Pedrosa
- 15Mujaid Sadick
- 20I. Balliu
- 25E. Audero
Real Betis
4-2-3-1- 9C. Hernández
- 10A. Ezzalzouli
- 8Pablo Fornals
- 21Marc Roca
- 22Isco
- 7Antony
- 11Fran García
- 2Héctor Bellerín
- 4Natan
- 3Diego Llorente
- 1Álvaro Vallés
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 04:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real Betis have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rayo Vallecano win, 4 draws, 1 Real Betis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Real Betis 1-1 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Real Betis | La Liga |
| May 15, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Real Betis 1-1 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Real Betis 1-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Betis | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayo Vallecano sit 14th in La Liga (9 points from 8 matches) and Real Betis sit 4th (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Betis the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Rayo Vallecano.
- Where and when is Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis played?
- Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Vallecas, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.