Celtic vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celtic wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
On Elo ratings, Celtic has 2,117 points and Celta Vigo 2,030.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celtic vs Celta Vigo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celtic
4-2-3-1- 11C. Durán
- 42C. McGregor
- 22M. Baur
- 23H. Hassan
- 8B. Nygren
- 18O. Sørensen
- 51Colby Donovan
- 5L. Scales
- 20C. Carter-Vickers
- 63K. Tierney
- 1V. Sinisalo
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 11Pablo Durán
- 16Hugo González
- 8Miguel Román
- 5Sergio Carreira
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 2C. Starfelt
- 13I. Radu
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Celta Vigo have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 9, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic sit 28th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Celta Vigo sit 26th (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
A question about Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Celtic vs Celta Vigo played?
- Celtic vs Celta Vigo is played on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Celtic Park, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.