Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
The Footlab model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United?
Adelaide United starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brisbane Roar have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Adelaide United have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 2-3 | A-League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 30, 2026 | South Melbourne(away) | 1-2 | Australia Cup |
| May 15, 2026 | Auckland(home) | 0-3 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 2-1 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brisbane Roar win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Adelaide United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 2-3 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Adelaide United 0-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Adelaide United 1-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 2-3 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Adelaide United 1-1 Brisbane Roar | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brisbane Roar score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide United score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Adelaide United | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brisbane Roar sit 11th in A-League (26 points from 26 matches) and Adelaide United sit 2nd (43 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 43 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 36 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United?
- The Footlab model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United played?
- Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United is played on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Suncorp Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.