Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Adelaide United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,745 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United?
Adelaide United starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brisbane Roar
3-5-2- 17J. Vidic
- 9V. Postolachi
- 6N. Maieroni
- 19S. Ngor
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 13T. Russell
- 8T. Francois
- 77M. Stajic
- 16J. King
- 5T. Aldred
- 40George Plusnin
Adelaide United
4-2-3-1- 35Brody Burkitt
- 55E. Alagich
- 10Juan Muñiz
- 11C. Goodwin
- 58H. Crawford
- 87Anselmo
- 4P. Kikianis
- 52S. Phillis
- 62F. Talladira
- 7R. Kitto
- 22J. Smits
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 02:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brisbane Roar have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Adelaide United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Perth Glory(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brisbane Roar win, 3 draws, 2 Adelaide United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 2-3 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Adelaide United 0-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Adelaide United 1-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 2-3 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Adelaide United 1-1 Brisbane Roar | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide United score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Adelaide United | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brisbane Roar sit 5th in A-League (3 points from 1 match) and Adelaide United sit 11th (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United played?
- Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United is played on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Suncorp Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.