Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa: prediction and stats
J-League CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka
The Footlab AI model makes Urawa the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Urawa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Cerezo Osaka (2,053) and Urawa (2,049).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1- 7S. Uejo
- 16H. Okuda
- 36J. Irvine
- 77Lucas Fernandes
- 10S. Tanaka
- 14Y. Yokoyama
- 66A. Ohata
- 97T. Takahashi
- 27Dion-Johan Cools
- 4R. Inoue
- 23Kosuke Nakamura
Urawa
4-3-3- 17H. Komori
- 10Matheus Sávio
- 7T. Kaneko
- 11Samuel Gustafson
- 88Y. Naganuma
- 37H. Ueki
- 3Danilo Boza
- 18K. Hayashi
- 33S. Sasa
- 15K. Kudo
- 1S. Nishikawa
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Urawa have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(away) | 3-1 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 2-1 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 3-2 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cerezo Osaka wins, 2 draws, 1 Urawa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2025 | Urawa 0-0 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Urawa | J1 League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Urawa 0-1 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Urawa | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Urawa | J1 League |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Urawa 2-1 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka on May 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cerezo Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Urawa | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerezo Osaka sit 4th in J-League Cup (5 points from 6 matches) and Urawa sit 1st (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UrawaGroup B | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Cerezo OsakaGroup E | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Urawa the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Cerezo Osaka.
- Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa played?
- Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa is played on November 15, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.