Match

Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats

J-League CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo

Machida ZelviaVissel Kobe

The Footlab AI model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Machida Zelvia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vissel Kobe wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Machida Zelvia (2,167) and Vissel Kobe (2,139).

31%26%43%
Machida Zelvia winDrawVissel Kobe win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Koki Ogawa
  1. 20T. Nishimura
  2. 88H. Nakamura
  3. 16H. Mae
  4. 33T. Akimoto
  5. 7Y. Soma
  6. 6H. Mochizuki
  1. 3G. Shōji
  2. 2T. Ouwejan
  3. 24Kim Min-Tae
  1. 1K. Tani

Vissel Kobe

4-3-3
  1. 11Y. Muto
  2. 10Y. Osako
  3. 94Erik
  1. 7Y. Ideguchi
  2. 23Yuan Iwamoto
  3. 5Y. Goke
  1. 24G. Sakai
  2. 4T. Yamakawa
  3. 41K. Nagato
  4. 3Matheus Thuler
  1. 71S. Gonda

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:56 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machida Zelvia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Vissel Kobe have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-0J1 League
Nov 5, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(home)2-1AFC Champions League Two
Nov 1, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 29, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 24, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)0-0J1 League
Vissel Kobe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Urawa(home)2-2J1 League
Nov 3, 2026Ratchaburi(home)3-2AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)3-1J1 League
Oct 27, 2026Daejeon Citizen(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Machida Zelvia wins, 2 draws, 2 Vissel Kobe wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Nov 22, 2025Machida Zelvia 3-1 Vissel KobeEmperor Cup
Aug 10, 2025Machida Zelvia 2-0 Vissel KobeJ1 League
Apr 20, 2025Vissel Kobe 1-0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Jun 26, 2024Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Apr 13, 2024Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel KobeJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia on Oct 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Machida Zelvia score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Machida Zelvia1.50.5105/156/15
Vissel Kobe1.90.978/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Vissel Kobe62044126

A question about Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?
The Footlab AI model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Machida Zelvia.
Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe played?
Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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