Cerro vs Central Espanol: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Cerro the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Central Espanol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cerro wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,319 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cerro vs Central Espanol?
On Elo ratings, Cerro has 1,699 points and Central Espanol 1,700.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cerro vs Central Espanol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cerro
4-3-3- 14E. Rodríguez
- 28A. Cambón
- 9B. Morales
- 5A. Macelli
- 27C. Barros
- 70L. Pais
- 16J. Guasone
- 21N. Arena
- 17Gianni Rodríguez
- 22D. Suárez
- 12Y. Irrazábal
Central Espanol
4-2-3-1- 10M. Aguilera
- 21L. Pino
- 24G. Gandolfo
- 4M. Montiel
- 16I. Méndez
- 7F. Munoz
- 17L. Fernández
- 14A. Villoldo
- 26Nunes Cesar
- 3J. Dupont
- 1F. Pintado
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Central Espanol have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 1-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 0-6 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cerro wins, 1 draw, 2 Central Espanol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Cerro 1-0 Central Espanol | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Central Espanol 3-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2022 | Cerro 2-0 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| May 14, 2022 | Central Espanol 1-2 Cerro | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Cerro 0-0 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Central Espanol 3-2 Cerro | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Cerro vs Central Espanol on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Central Espanol score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Central Espanol | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 7th in Primera División (18 points from 11 matches) and Central Espanol sit 16th (5 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cerro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 18 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 5 |
A question about Cerro vs Central Espanol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cerro vs Central Espanol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cerro the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Central Espanol.
- Where and when is Cerro vs Central Espanol played?
- Cerro vs Central Espanol is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.