Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Parque Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Montevideo the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Cerro Largo. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,330 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
On Elo ratings, Racing Montevideo has 1,802 points and Cerro Largo 1,726.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Montevideo
4-4-2- 18T. Habib
- 9S. da Silva
- 10E. da Silva
- 34A. De la Cuesta Airoldi
- 5Juan Bosca
- 39Á. Vázquez
- 13Abdulkadir Ceri
- 37Y. Oyarzo
- 17R. Ferreira
- 4G. Cotugno
- 12F. Varese
Cerro Largo
4-3-3- 29B. Lozano
- 7G. Viera
- 18Diego Daguerre
- 15A. Assis
- 5S. Marcel
- 10Axel Michele Pandiani
- 20S. Franca
- 17A. Hernández
- 3A. Piegas
- 19A. Prado
- 12P. González
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 10:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Montevideo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cerro Largo have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Progreso(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Rentistas(home) | 1-0 | Copa Uruguay |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Racing Montevideo wins, 3 draws, 0 Cerro Largo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Racing Montevideo 1-0 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cerro Largo 0-1 Racing Montevideo | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Cerro Largo 2-2 Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Racing Montevideo 1-1 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Racing Montevideo 0-0 Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Cerro Largo 0-2 Racing Montevideo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Montevideo score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro Largo score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Cerro Largo | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Montevideo sit 9th in Primera División (15 points from 11 matches) and Cerro Largo sit 15th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Montevideo the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Cerro Largo.
- Where and when is Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo played?
- Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Osvaldo Roberto, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.