CF Os Belenenses vs Atlético CP: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Restelo, Lisboa
The Footlab model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Atlético CP. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Atlético CP?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate CF Os Belenenses (2,023) and Atlético CP (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Os Belenenses have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético CP have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | União Santarém(home) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 3-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CF Os Belenenses win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Atlético CP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Atlético CP 1-2 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Atlético CP 2-2 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | CF Os Belenenses 0-0 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Atlético CP 0-1 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético CP vs CF Os Belenenses on Nov 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CF Os Belenenses score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético CP score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Os Belenenses | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlético CP | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Os Belenenses sit 1st in Liga 3 (9 points from 3 matches) and Atlético CP sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Os Belenenses vs Atlético CP?
- The Footlab model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Atlético CP.
- Where and when is CF Os Belenenses vs Atlético CP played?
- CF Os Belenenses vs Atlético CP is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Restelo, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.