Atlético CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Da Tapadinha, Lisboa
The Footlab model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Lusitano Évora 1911. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Atlético CP (1,930) and Lusitano Évora 1911 (1,936).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético CP have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Lusitano Évora 1911 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 3-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético CP(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Atlético CP win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lusitano Évora 1911 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Atlético CP 3-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 | Liga 3 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Atlético CP 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| May 28, 2023 | Atlético CP 5-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
Last archived meeting: Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atlético CP on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético CP score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitano Évora 1911 score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CP | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético CP sit 2nd in Liga 3 (7 points from 3 matches) and Lusitano Évora 1911 sit 4th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético CP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Lusitano Évora 1911.
- Where and when is Atlético CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911 played?
- Atlético CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911 is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Da Tapadinha, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.