Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
The Footlab AI model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Caldas. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,669 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses?
CF Os Belenenses starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,081 vs 1,871).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caldas
4-3-3- 17Goncas
- 9G. Chaves
- 77G. Pio
- 24Filipe Oliveira
- 8Diogo Clemente
- 6Diogo Izata
- 3Nando
- 28D. Nascimento
- 23M. Rodeia
- 20G. Lourenco
- 12D. Almeida
CF Os Belenenses
4-3-3- 23Bruninho
- 33Chamito
- 27Evandro Barros
- 17Diogo Leitão
- 21T. Morgado
- 14A. Afonso
- 4Nuno Tomás
- 58David Monteiro
- 66Cesinha
- 15João Lucas
- 99Guilherme Oliveira
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldas have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; CF Os Belenenses have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 3-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Beira-Mar(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Caldas win, 1 draw, 4 CF Os Belenenses wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Caldas 1-2 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses 0-2 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Caldas 1-1 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
| Aug 2, 2024 | CF Os Belenenses 2-1 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Caldas 0-1 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caldas score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; CF Os Belenenses score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldas | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| CF Os Belenenses | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caldas sit 4th in Liga 3 (11 points from 8 matches) and CF Os Belenenses sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses?
- The Footlab AI model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Caldas.
- Where and when is Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses played?
- Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo da Mata, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.