Match

CF Talavera vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina

CF TalaveraGimnástica Segoviana

The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Talavera vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,902) and Gimnástica Segoviana (1,846).

CF Talavera win49 %
Draw27 %
Gimnástica Segoviana win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Talavera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Getafe II(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Illescas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Cacereño(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Ourense CF(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026Osasuna II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Gimnástica Segoviana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Atlético Madrid II(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Valladolid(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 CF Talavera win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 24, 2024CF Talavera 1-0 Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 12, 2023Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 CF TalaveraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 5, 2023Gimnástica Segoviana 3-0 CF TalaveraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 16, 2022CF Talavera 4-2 Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: CF Talavera vs Gimnástica Segoviana on Mar 24, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CF Talavera0.90.949/156/15
Gimnástica Segoviana0.81.336/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3CF Talavera341996502766

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
Where and when is CF Talavera vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?
CF Talavera vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: CF Talavera and Gimnástica Segoviana

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