Calamocha vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, Calamocha
The Footlab model makes Calamocha the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calamocha vs Calvo Sotelo?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Calamocha (1,889) and Calvo Sotelo (1,941).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calamocha have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cariñena(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Robres(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cazalegas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calamocha | 1.2 | 0.3 | 12 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Calvo Sotelo | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calamocha vs Calvo Sotelo?
- The Footlab model makes Calamocha the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Calvo Sotelo.
- Where and when is Calamocha vs Calvo Sotelo played?
- Calamocha vs Calvo Sotelo is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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