Guadalajara vs Numancia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Numancia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Numancia?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,900) and Numancia (1,986).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guadalajara vs Numancia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guadalajara
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara lineup.
Numancia
4-3-3- 9Jony González
- 14Alejandro Gil Rochina
- 26C. Godson
- 8M. Gning
- 5O. De Frutos
- 6N. Lucas Rey
- 2Marcos Sánchez
- 16Carlos Gutiérrez
- 22Fermín Ruiz
- 4Ian Olivera
- 1M. Abad
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Numancia have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Guadalajara wins, 0 draws, 1 Numancia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Numancia 1-0 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Guadalajara 1-0 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Numancia 0-2 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Numancia vs Guadalajara on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Numancia | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalajara sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 6 matches) and Numancia sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Numancia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Guadalajara | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Guadalajara vs Numancia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Numancia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Guadalajara.
- Where and when is Guadalajara vs Numancia played?
- Guadalajara vs Numancia is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027CF TalaveravsGimnástica Segoviana
- Apr 25, 2027ConquensevsReal Ávila
- Apr 25, 2027Getafe IIvsAtlético Tordesillas
- Apr 25, 2027Real Valladolid IIvsA Madrid III
- Apr 25, 2027RSD AlcalávsSalamanca UDS
- Apr 25, 2027Atlético AstorgavsSS Reyes
- Apr 25, 2027CalamochavsCalvo Sotelo
- Apr 25, 2027Albacete IIvsNavalcarnero