Match

Albacete II vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, Albacete

Albacete IINavalcarnero

The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Albacete II vs Navalcarnero?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Albacete II (1,910) and Navalcarnero (1,863).

Albacete II win50 %
Draw27 %
Navalcarnero win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Navalcarnero have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Albacete II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026Leioa(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 13, 2026Leioa(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 6, 2026Manchego(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 30, 2026Manchego(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 24, 2026Toledo(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Navalcarnero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Fuenlabrada(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Colonia Moscardó(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Conquense(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026CD Coria(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Albacete II score 1.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Albacete II1.50.4102/154/15
Navalcarnero1.31.537/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Navalcarnero34111013404243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Albacete II vs Navalcarnero?
The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Navalcarnero.
Where and when is Albacete II vs Navalcarnero played?
Albacete II vs Navalcarnero is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Albacete II and Navalcarnero

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